BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 107 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 140.07
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home L 139.24 14 34 1B 2 ( 14- 1) James Madison 3.50 -23.50
2 09/09/2017 Away L 127.39 20 56 1A 42 ( 7- 6) West Virginia -8.35 -27.65
3 09/16/2017 Home L 122.15 17 64 1A 17 ( 9- 4) Virginia Tech -13.58 * -33.42
4 09/24/2017 Away W * 143.00 41 38 1A 115 ( 3- 9) Connecticut 7.26 -4.26
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 129.34 31 61 1A 41 ( 10- 2) South Florida -6.40 -23.60
6 10/07/2017 Home L * 124.52 10 34 1A 76 ( 7- 6) Temple -11.21 -12.79
7 10/14/2017 Away L * 134.82 21 63 1A 11 ( 13- 0) Central Florida -0.92 * -41.08
8 10/21/2017 Home W 155.90 33 17 1A 101 ( 4- 9) Brigham Young 20.16 -4.16
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 134.24 27 52 1A 59 ( 7- 5) Houston -1.50 -23.50
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 140.58 24 31 1A 77 ( 5- 7) Tulane 4.85 -11.85
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 166.38 48 20 1A 105 ( 4- 8) Cincinnati 30.65 -2.65
12 11/25/2017 Away L * 111.28 13 70 1A 35 ( 10- 3) Memphis -24.46 * -32.54
Averages 135.74 24.9 45.0
Best game: 166.38 = 28 point win over Cincinnati
Worst game: 111.28 = 57 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev: 14.95